Results/Party performance Results
ECI results
Analysis · votes into seats

What a vote was worth

Rajasthan, 2024. 266 candidates from 42 parties contested 25 seats; 5 parties won at least one.

Parties contesting
42
2024 · 5 of them won a seat
Largest party
14seats
Bharatiya Janta Party · 49.64% of votes
Deposits lost
80.83%
215 of 266 candidates
Effective parties
2.5
By vote share · lower means more dominant
Candidates per seat
10.6
266 for 25 declared seats

[02]Vote share against seat share

2024 · bar is vote share, marker is seat share

First-past-the-post rarely pays out in proportion. The bar is the share of votes a party won; the marker is the share of seats it took. A marker to the right of its bar means the system paid the party more seats than its votes alone would buy.

Bharatiya Janta Party 49.64%14 seats · +6.36 pts
Indian National Congr… 38.25%8 seats · -6.25 pts
Bharat Adivasi Party 3.35%1 seat · +0.65 pts
Communist Party of In… 2.01%1 seat · +2.0 pts
Rashtriya Loktantrik… 1.82%1 seat · +2.19 pts
Independent 3.64%0 seats · -3.64 pts
Bahujan Samaj Party 0.74%0 seats · -0.74 pts

[03]Strike rate — candidates who won

2024 · parties fielding 5 or more
Bharatiya Janta Party 56.0%14/25
Indian National Congr… 34.78%8/23
Bharat Adivasi Party 16.67%1/6
Independent 0.0%0/122
Bahujan Samaj Party 0.0%0/24
Indian Peoples Green… 0.0%0/8
Aazad Samaj Party (ka… 0.0%0/5
Right To Recall Party 0.0%0/7
Bheem Tribal Congress 0.0%0/7

[04]Deposits lost

Candidates under a sixth of the valid vote · newest first
2024 80.83%215 of 266
2019 79.52%198 of 249
2014 83.13%266 of 320
2009 84.68%293 of 346
2004 72.43%134 of 185
1999 69.09%114 of 165
1998 75.8%166 of 219
1996 92.17%624 of 677
1991 89.73%472 of 526
1989 83.55%254 of 304

[05]How crowded the ballot got

Candidates per seat · newest first
2024 10.6266 candidates
2019 10.0249 candidates
2014 12.8320 candidates
2009 13.8346 candidates
2004 7.4185 candidates
1999 6.6165 candidates
1998 8.8219 candidates
1996 27.1677 candidates
1991 21.0526 candidates
1989 12.2304 candidates

[06]Independents

Candidates standing without a party · newest first
2024 1220 won
2019 1110 won
2014 1170 won
2009 1861 won
2004 690 won
1999 440 won
1998 501 won
1996 5270 won
1991 3800 won
1989 1990 won

[07]Computed insights

Arithmetic over the table above, not commentary
  1. Bharatiya Janta Party took 56.0% of the seats on 49.64% of the votes — a seat bonus of +6.36 pts.

    seat share 56.0 - vote share 49.64
  2. Indian National Congress went the other way: 38.25% of votes returned only 32.0% of seats.

    seat share 32.0 - vote share 38.25
  3. 80.83% of candidates lost their deposit in 2024 — 215 of 266 polled under a sixth of the valid vote.

    215/266 below the one-sixth threshold
  4. 122 independents stood and 0 won — a strike rate of 0.0%.

    0/122 independents
  5. The field has grown more concentrated since 1952: the effective number of parties moved from 3.6 to 2.5.

    Laakso-Taagepera 1/sum(share^2), 1952 vs 2024
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